The AI Surge Is Set to Impact Apple’s Profit Margins | Global News

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Apple Faces Rising Competition in Electronics Supply Chain

For years, Apple has stood as a paragon in the electronics supply chain. That era appears to be waning.

In recent months, artificial intelligence companies have been aggressively investing in essential components such as chips, memory, and specialized materials. This surge in demand has enabled these firms to outmaneuver Apple in the quest for critical resources.

Suppliers, who historically catered to Apple’s every demand, are now leveraging their newfound power to negotiate higher prices with the iPhone manufacturer.

Analysts predict that Apple’s traditionally robust profit margins will experience strain this year, and consumers may eventually bear the consequences.

During a recent earnings call, Chief Executive Tim Cook acknowledged the challenges, noting constraints in chip supplies and significant increases in memory prices. These revelations seemingly impacted Apple’s stock, which remained stagnant despite impressive iPhone sales and record profits.

“Apple is undeniably feeling the pressure,” remarked Sravan Kundojjala, an industry analyst from SemiAnalysis.

NVIDIA, a leader in AI technology, has recently become the predominant customer of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), as confirmed by CEO Jensen Huang during a podcast discussion.

For years, Apple had maintained this status by a considerable margin. TSMC stands as the globe’s foremost manufacturer of advanced chips, catering to AI servers, smartphones, and various computing devices.

Representatives from both Apple and TSMC declined to provide comments on this matter.

The powerful computing systems essential for AI functions may differ significantly from consumer smartphones, yet they share many component suppliers. Notably, the demand for memory chips is surging as industry giants like OpenAI, Google’s Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and others collectively invest hundreds of billions of dollars into AI infrastructure.

“The rate at which memory prices are escalating is unprecedented,” stated Mike Howard, an analyst with TechInsights.

This surge pertains to both NAND flash memory chips, which are utilized for photo and video storage, and DRAM, the memory type critical for app performance. By year-end, DRAM prices are projected to quadruple from 2023 levels, and NAND prices are expected to more than triple, as estimated by TechInsights.

Howard forecasts that Apple could incur an additional $57 for the two memory types integrated into the upcoming base-model iPhone 18, in comparison with its predecessor, the iPhone 17. For a device priced at $799, this would significantly impact profit margins.

Historically, Apple’s purchasing power and prowess in crafting cutting-edge electronics established it as an unparalleled titan among Asian suppliers responsible for manufacturing and assembling the iPhone.

Apple reportedly invests billions annually in NAND alone, likely rendering it the largest global purchaser. Suppliers have eagerly sought to secure Apple’s business, recognizing that collaboration with the tech behemoth can bolster their own market presence.

Currently, “the frontiers of human-scale engineering are being pushed by companies like Nvidia,” noted Ming-chi Kuo, an analyst with TF International Securities.

The demand for AI hardware is expected to escalate rapidly. In contrast, Apple’s spending growth appears relatively modest, even as the company celebrates record-breaking iPhone 17 sales.

According to insiders in Apple’s supply chain, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are hiking the prices of a specific DRAM chip for Apple, as major AI firms are willing to pay a premium to secure their supply through upfront payments. This trend has afforded South Korean chip manufacturers increased leverage over Apple.

While Apple typically engages in long-term contracts for memory procurement, it has historically utilized its bargaining power to exert downward pressure on prices.

Apple has negotiated terms frequently, even refusing orders if pricing does not meet its expectations, as per sources familiar with its procurement practices. To enhance its negotiating position, Apple has recently opted for larger memory stockpiles—an unusual strategy for Cook, who generally minimizes inventory to optimize cash flow.

Apple’s competition extends beyond securing component delivery; it also encompasses capturing the attention of engineers at supplier firms. Experts in glass technology, who have been instrumental in developing sleek smartphone displays, are now allocating their efforts towards creating specialized glass for advanced AI chip packaging, as reported by industry insiders.

Additionally, manufacturers of internal sensors and other components within the iPhone are acquiring new contracts from AI organizations like OpenAI that are venturing into hardware production.

Nonetheless, suppliers assert they remain committed to partnering with Apple. Collaborating with Apple provides substantial educational benefits, as it remains one of the most exacting and disciplined clients within the sector.

TSMC has successfully developed successive iterations of cutting-edge chips with Apple as its primary client, driven by the predictable demand for iPhones. However, with an increasing share of business dedicated to Nvidia and other AI enterprises, insiders have indicated that Apple is exploring alternative sources for manufacturing certain lower-end processors.

A man holding a pile of money in his hands.

One of Apple’s significant profit contributors lies in selling additional memory options at prices substantially exceeding their cost. Last fall, Apple phased out the iPhone Pro model featuring 128 gigabytes of storage; customers now must opt for 256 gigabytes, which entails an additional $100 charge.

This strategy could be replicated in the upcoming product cycle to counterbalance rising costs, as pointed out by Craig Moffett, an analyst at Moffett Nathanson.

However, Kuo speculates that Apple is unlikely to increase the pricing of its forthcoming iPhone models in comparison with similarly equipped iPhone 17 variants.

It is worth noting that News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal, has a commercial arrangement to provide news through Apple services.

Source link: Hindustantimes.com.

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