Melius Research has revised its price targets for two prominent players in the AI semiconductor arena.
The firm’s new benchmarks set Nvidia at $315 and Marvell Technology at $300, reflecting a tempered outlook for these key entities in artificial intelligence hardware.
The latest pricing figures reveal a pronounced shift in perception. Melius now assigns a target of $315 to Nvidia, alongside a $300 target for Marvell.
Key Adjustments
The newly established metrics are unambiguous. Melius has downgraded Nvidia’s target significantly from its previous valuation.
As of August 27, 2026, analyst Ben Reitzes maintained a Buy recommendation on Nvidia with an aggressive target of $420.
The descent from $420 to $315 constitutes a substantial re-evaluation of over a hundred dollars per share, indicating a considerable adjustment in the firm’s valuation perspective.
In contrast, Marvell’s trajectory has been somewhat erratic. Melius has oscillated in its analysis and targets pertaining to Marvell over the preceding eighteen months.
In May 2025, Melius downgraded Marvell to Hold, assigning a target of $66, citing concerns over a sluggish increase in custom silicon—a specific type of chip designed for pivotal cloud clients.
The firm later amended its stance, elevating Marvell to Buy with a target of $135 in January 2026, subsequently increasing that target to $220 in June 2026.
The current $300 revision indicates a decrease, implying that Melius’s previous standing must have been higher than this threshold. Therefore, Marvell’s target fluctuated from $66 to beyond $300 before this latest reduction.
The Significance of Nvidia and Marvell
Nvidia and Marvell serve distinct roles within the burgeoning AI infrastructure landscape. Nvidia manufactures the graphics processing units (GPUs) essential for executing the extensive computational demands associated with training and implementing AI models.
Conversely, Marvell specializes in creating application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), tailored chips for specialized workloads of individual clients.
Additionally, it provides interconnect technologies that facilitate rapid data transfer between chips and servers.
The analytical discourse surrounding these firms is underpinned by projections of monumental capital investments by hyperscalers—massive cloud service providers responsible for constructing and operating global data centers.
A Diversity of Perspectives
Melius’s stance appears to diverge from a prevailing sense of optimism surrounding Marvell. In October 2026, various analysts escalated their Marvell price targets to a spectrum ranging from $300 to $400.
These adjustments were prompted by insights shared during Marvell’s investor day, where expectations for robust revenue in fiscal 2028 were articulated, with interconnect expansion being a pivotal factor in that optimistic forecast.
This positions Melius’s new $300 target as the lower boundary of the market sentiment following the investor event.
Implications for Investors
A reduction in price target does not equate to a downgrade, with no indication from the announcement suggesting that Melius altered its ratings on either Nvidia or Marvell.
The significant reduction for Nvidia warrants scrutiny, as the shift from $420 to $315 suggests Melius has recalibrated its expectations based on critical factors, possibly encompassing AI expenditure trajectories, market competition, or the valuation sustainability of growth potential.

For Marvell, the narrative hinges on the execution of custom silicon. The downgrading in May 2025 was explicitly linked to the deceleration in custom chip development, and the subsequent ratings upgrades correlate with enhanced confidence in the company’s performance in that sector.
Investors observing Marvell should diligently monitor its progress in achieving the fiscal 2028 benchmarks outlined during the investor day.
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