Will AI take your job? An Australian report suggests not for those in cleaning, construction, or hospitality

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Seeking AI-Resilient Careers

Individuals contemplating career paths are advised to reconsider traditional fields such as bookkeeping, marketing, or programming. Instead, they might explore opportunities in nursing, construction, or hospitality.

A recent comprehensive report from Jobs and Skills Australia assessed the prospective ramifications of artificial intelligence on the job market, presenting an optimistic outlook for employees amidst this AI-driven transformation.

The commissioner of JSA, Barney Glover, remarked that apocalyptic forecasts regarding the demise of conventional employment are exaggerated. Nonetheless, the significant impact of AI cannot be overlooked.

“The central theme is that virtually all professions will be enhanced by AI. Regardless of your sector or skill level, AI will make its presence felt,” Glover stated.

In what is considered the most thorough examination of its kind in Australia, JSA evaluated various roles based on the extent to which their tasks are susceptible to automation or enhancement through artificial intelligence.

“Numerous clerical duties, previously untouched by earlier automation waves, are now largely manageable by generative AI,” the report disclosed.

The organization projected future employment developments across various professions through the mid-century, juxtaposing projections against a hypothetical landscape devoid of AI.

The findings indicated that occupations such as office clerks, receptionists, bookkeepers, sales and marketing professionals, business and systems analysts, as well as programmers, are likely to experience the most substantial job losses by 2050.

Conversely, roles poised to witness significant employment growth include cleaners and laundry workers, public safety and administration officials, business administration managers, construction and mining laborers, along those in hospitality.

A critical revelation of the report was that AI is more likely to transform, rather than eliminate, jobs.

“Nearly half of the workforce is currently situated in roles characterized by low automation and medium augmentation scores, indicating a tendency toward change rather than disruption,” the report elucidated.

Transformation in the Job Market

JSA explored employment trajectories under three scenarios, each depicting varying rates of AI adoption from the present until 2050.

The findings suggest that while AI may induce a deceleration in employment growth during the 2030s, it will catalyze swifter growth in the following decade. In every scenario, Australia is projected to have more jobs by 2050 in a landscape integrated with AI than in one without.

The analysis asserts, “We may not observe the most profound employment changes for another decade, aligning with the duration required for deeper integration and accompanying structural shifts.”

Even in its nascent stages, AI has already wreaked havoc on certain job sectors.

Reports indicate a “significant” reduction in demand for voice actors attributable to generative AI, with one talent agency reporting an 80% drop in requests for narration for content videos.

Employers are also beginning to leverage AI for tasks traditionally reserved for graduates, although comprehensive evidence of this trend remains sparse.

Major corporations are rapidly adopting AI technologies, impacting the workforce significantly. For instance, the Commonwealth Bank recently eliminated numerous call center positions in favor of chatbots.

In May, Telstra’s CEO, Vicki Brady, stated that “AI efficiencies” would necessitate a workforce reduction by 2030, despite the company denying that recent announcements of job cuts were directly linked to technological advancements.

A Call for Swift Action

Given the accelerated pace of AI advancements, Glover urged immediate action to equip Australians of all ages with the competencies requisite for success in an AI-augmented environment.

This endeavor necessitates a “national leadership framework” spearheaded by the federal government in collaboration with all tiers of governance.

“It is imperative that the education and training sectors are prepared for this transition. AI has become a foundational skill—everyone will need to be some form of ‘prompt engineer’,” Glover emphasized.

“Our objective is to future-proof the younger generation by imparting essential skills.”

“Cultivating cognitive and critical thinking abilities is crucial. It is vital to support the humanities and social sciences, which have nurtured these skills over centuries.”

Glover concurred with the ACTU on the need for employers to collaborate with personnel in the “co-design” of AI integration within the workplace.

“The optimal way to achieve favorable outcomes for both workers and employers is to involve the workforce in this transition. This must be a constructive pathway forward.”

Source link: Theguardian.com.

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