E-commerce Revenue Expected to Reach $1.8 Trillion by 2030, Driven by One Generation’s Shopping Trends

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E-Commerce Industry Poised for Remarkable Growth

The realm of e-commerce is experiencing an unprecedented surge, a trend anticipated to continue unabated.

Recent insights from Forrester, a prominent research and consulting firm, project U.S. e-commerce sales to reach a staggering $1.8 trillion by the year 2030. This figure is expected to compose a noteworthy 29 percent of total retail sales.

Should these forecasts materialize, the online shopping sector in the U.S. will have more than doubled its market presence, witnessing a sales increase of over 400 percent since 2015.

The driving forces behind this growth are identified as tech-savvy Gen Z consumers entering the labor market, wielding greater purchasing power and a proclivity for online shopping.

Enhanced logistics—referring to the management of materials and goods throughout supply chains—will further augment e-commerce efficiency and propel sales figures, Forrester highlighted.

In a parallel projection, retail analysts at Digital Commerce 360 estimate that U.S. consumers will have spent approximately $1.5 trillion through online platforms by 2025.

For context, e-commerce sales generated a mere $4.5 billion during the last quarter of 1999. The sector has since undergone an extraordinary transformation.

It took 18 years for quarterly sales to surpass $100 billion, yet only seven years were necessary to exceed $300 billion, as reported by the Census Bureau.

In 2025, Amazon is projected to command an impressive 35.7 percent share of online retail sales, according to e-commerce intelligence firm Marketplace Pulse.

Gen Z has emerged as a pivotal demographic within the e-commerce landscape, particularly influencing the social media aspect of online retailing.

According to data from Numerator, 44 percent of Gen Z consumers have made purchases directly via social media platforms, with TikTok and Facebook accounting for 38 percent of their total social media purchases.

Among the favored retailers for Gen Z shoppers are Walmart, Amazon, and Target. Notably, Target’s penetration rate into Gen Z spending is reported to be twice that of the national average, as indicated by Numerator.

As DHL articulates in its analysis of Gen Z retail habits, “This generation is redefining what it means to be a digital consumer. From fashion and beauty to wellness and entertainment, Gen Z is highly engaged—eager to spend, particularly when products resonate with their personal values and help define their identity.”

Gen Z’s purchasing behavior is poised to be a significant catalyst for e-commerce expansion over the next five years.

On the logistics front, emerging trends such as drop-shipping and advancements in AI-driven software have contributed considerably to operational efficiency.

As TechBlocks, a consultancy specializing in technology solutions, has observed, drop-shipping enables retailers to ship products directly from manufacturers and warehouses, thus alleviating the burdens associated with inventory management and delivery.

Moreover, platforms like Shopify and Squarespace have democratized e-commerce, facilitating the establishment of online stores for individuals looking to sell their products.

shopify-ecommerce-website

Shopify has gained such prominence that it captured a 14 percent share of the e-commerce market in 2025, according to Marketplace Pulse.

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